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Of course you’re a “You’re Dead Helen” stan, so predictable

When in doubt for shorts which 95% of the voters have never seen or heard of, I always vote for the one with the most interesting title as they do

Haven't seen the short, but the lack of a comma is powerful in its implication; it's as if just by reading the title, each and every one of us is Dead Helen.

This year’s Razzie Awards have added special category Worst Performance by Bruce Willis in a 2021 Movie, separate from other acting categories

I was hoping to leave my nominations untouched from the other day, but I think it's time to acknowledge that my effort to will into being a nomination for C'mon C'mon in screenplay isn't going to happen. Sticking with Stewart in actress and leaving Branagh out of director out of principle, though

Toying with the idea of putting Reinsve in Best Actress since that category is ripe for a surprise, but that's almost certainly wishful thinking and there's next to no evidence, so I'll have to resist. Same deal with Mike Faist

Anders Danielsen Lie's perf in The Worst Person in the World would a thousand percent win the Supporting Actor category if the film was in English. I think NEON's inexplicable pushback of their popular releases (this, Portrait of a Lady on Fire) coupled with a lack of campaigning have destroyed their film's chances of recognition at the Oscars. But yeah, both lead actors in that film deserve noms.

Life's performance is def my favorite supporting perf of the year, but yeah no chance in hell of that happening now (Faist is my second fave, and that seems a bit more likely). I think Reinsve is sort of possible and maybe something like Screenplay is the best case scenario, but the Oscars are apparently only allowed to give above-the-line noms to one non-English-language film a year and this time it's Drive My Car

Ah, fuck it

Picture
Belfast
CODA
Don't Look Up
Drive My Car
Dune
French Dispatch
King Richard
Licorice Pizza
Power of the Dog
West Side Story

Director
Paul Thomas Anderson
Kenneth Branagh
Jane Campion
Julia Ducournau
Ryusuke Hamaguchi

Actor
Benedict Cumberbatch
Andrew Garfield
Jude Hill
Will Smith
Denzel Washington

Actress
Olivia Colman
Lady Gaga
Nicole Kidman
Renate Reinsve
Kristen Stewart

Supporting Actor
Bradley Cooper
Jamie Dornan
Ciaran Hinds
Jesse Plemons
Kodi Smit-McPhee

Supporting Actress
Caitriona Balfe
Ariana DeBose
Judi Dench
Kirsten Dunst
Rita Moreno

Alright, no more revisions or new submissions of Oscar guesses will be tabulated as of now; it'll probably take me until later in the morning after kids are dropped off to report scores. Good luck everyone!

I feel like tomorrow is going to be a 2012 style bloodbath of unexpected snubs and inclusions. May the wrongest of us be shown to be right!

So happy Jessie Buckley is one of the beneficiaries of said bloodbath

And Sorkin missed for The Worst Person in the World!

Some really surprising surprises so far

Penélope Cruz and Kristen Stewart over Lady Gaga!

Renate.
Screenplay.

Gotta say, that’s a much more solid, eclectic set of nominees than I expected to get

Having seen it Sunday evening the snub I'm honestly the most upset about is Belle missing for the aggresively mediocre Raya and the Last Dragon, which has some of the worst writing in any Disney feature i've seen recently.

I was thinking likewise. The other two Disney’s make sense for popularity and quality respectively, but Raya is neither popular nor good (I’d argue it’s Disney’s worst feature ever) and room should have been made for literally anything else.

It's funny how Raya was Disney's most well-reviewed feature since Moana when it came out and Luca was described as minor Pixar, yet the latter creates humour out of character and setting so effortlessly whilst the former falls back on awkward modern lingo, generic and underdeveloped fantasy setting and bluntly stating its message ad infinitum.

DarkImbecile wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:10 pm Gotta say, that’s a much more solid, eclectic set of nominees than I expected to get

What did you expect to see nominated that you thought was a shoo-in? Even if you thought it was trashy "Oscar bait"?

I will say, to DarkImbecile’s point, that I’m very surprised at the number of big nominations for Drive My Car. What was the last Janus-distributed film to get that many?

The Great Beauty got a few, but I’m pretty sure less than this.

Great Beauty only got nominated (and won) for International Feature.

Drive My Car is the first ever Japanese nominee for best pic, and first time a Japanese director has been nominated since Kurosawa for Ran in 1986, Teshigahara for Woman in the Dunes in 1965 before that. the critic campaign really blazed a trail for it, and I'm pleased.

Aaron Sorkin getting snubbed so The Worst Person in the World could get in is big time progress by the Academy