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SncDthMnky wrote:As for LMS as a whole, I think it's the least deserving of those nominated for Best Pic.

I agree with you but , then again, so was Crash last year.

AFA NOMINATIONS – in alphabetical order:

~ BEST FILM ~
1. Curse of the Golden Flower Hong Kong / Chinese mainland
2. Exiled Hong Kong
3. The Host South Korea
4. Love and Honor Japan
5. Opera Jawa Indonesia / Austria
6. Still Life Chinese mainland

~ BEST DIRECTOR ~
1. HONG Sang-soo Woman on the Beach South Korea
2. JIA Zhangke Still Life Chinese mainland
3. Jafar PANAHI Offside Iran
4. Johnnie TO Exiled Hong Kong
5. TSAI Ming-liang I Don't Want to Sleep Alone Taiwan / France / Austria
6. Apichatpong WEERASETHAKUL Syndromes and a Century Thailand / Austria / France

~ BEST ACTOR ~
1. CHANG Chen The Go Master Chinese mainland
2. JUNG Ji-hoon (RAIN) I'm a Cyborg, but That's OK South Korea
3. Shahrukh KHAN DON India
4. Andy LAU A Battle of Wits Japan / Hong Kong / Chinese mainland / South Korea
5. SONG Kang-ho The Host South Korea
6. WATANABE Ken Memories of Tomorrow Japan

~ BEST ACTRESS ~
1. GONG Li Curse of the Golden Flower Hong Kong / Chinese mainland
2. KIM Hye-soo Tazza: The High Rollers South Korea
3. LIM Soo-jung I'm a Cyborg, but That's OK South Korea
4. MIYAZAWA Rie Hana Japan
5. NAKATANI Miki Memories of Matsuko Japan
6. ZHANG Ziyi The Banquet Hong Kong / Chinese mainland

~ BEST SCREENWRITER ~
1. Mani HAGHIGHI Men at Work Iran
2. HONG Sang-soo Woman on the Beach South Korea
3. OISHI Tetsuya, KANEKO Shusuke DEATH NOTE the Last name Japan
4. SOHN Jae-gon My Scary Girl South Korea
5. Prabda YOON Invisible Waves Thailand / The Netherlands / South Korea / Hong Kong
6. ZHANG Cheng, YUE Xiaojun, NING Hao, Crazy Stone Hong Kong / Chinese mainland

~ BEST CINEMATOGRAPHER ~
1. KIM Hyung-goo The Host South Korea
2. Andrew LAU, LAI Yiu-fai Confession of Pain Hong Kong
3. LIAO Pen-jung I Don't Want to Sleep Alone Taiwan / France / Austria
4. Sayombhu MUKDEEPROM Syndromes and a Century Thailand / Austria / France
5. WANG Yu The Go Master Chinese mainland

~ BEST PRODUCTION DESIGNER ~
1. CHO Keun-hyun Forbidden Quest South Korea
2. KUWAJIMA Towako Memories of Matsuko Japan
3. Patrick TAM, Cyrus HO After This Our Exile Hong Kong
4. WADA Emi The Go Master Chinese mainland
5. Tim YIP The Banquet Hong Kong / Chinese mainland

~ BEST COMPOSER ~
1. JEONG Yong-jin Woman on the Beach South Korea
2. Peter KAM Isabella Hong Kong
3. LIM Giong Still Life Chinese mainland
4. Rahayu SUPANGGAH Opera Jawa Indonesia / Austria
5. TERASHIMA Tamiya Tales from Earthsea Japan

~ BEST EDITOR ~
1. Lee CHATAMETIKOOL Syndromes and a Century Thailand / Austria / France
2. KIM Sun-min The Host South Korea
3. Angie LAM Dog Bite Dog Japan / Hong Kong
4. PARK Gok-ji, JEONG Jin-hee A Dirty Carnival South Korea
5. Patrick TAM After This Our Exile Hong Kong

~ BEST VISUAL EFFECTS ~
1. Angela BARSON, CHUNG Chi-hang Curse of the Golden Flower Hong Kong / Chinese mainland
2. Digital Tetra Inc. The Restless South Korea
3. OHYA Tetsuo The Sinking of Japan Japan
4. The Orphanage The Host South Korea
5. YANAGAWASE Masahide Memories of Matsuko Japan

Comments?

What the hell. My predictions:

Pic: Babel - the Academy loves epics. Babel is the most "epic" of all the nominated pics. Little Miss Sunshine is too much of a dark horse.

Foreign: Pan's Labyrinth

Actor: Forest Whitaker

Supporting Actor: Eddie Murphy

Actress: Helen Mirren

Supporting Actress: Jennifer Hudson

Director: Martin Scorsese

Michael wrote:What the hell. My predictions:

Pic: Babel - the Academy loves epics. Babel is the most "epic" of all the nominated pics.

Not Letters from Iwo Jima?

marty wrote:Now, that most of the pre-Oscar awards have been announced, these are pretty much the obvious winners now:

Best Picture - Little Miss Sunshine
Best Actor - Forest Whitaker
Best Actress - Helen Mirren
Best Supporting Actor - Eddie Murphy
Best Supporting Actress - Jennifer Hudson
Best Director - Martin Scorsese
Best Original Screenplay - Babel
Best Adapted Screenplay - The Departed

DGA is usually a better indicator on the BP winner. Since Scorsese just got the DGA (finally this year), I won't be surprised to see "the departed" taking home the BP Oscar. To be fair, it will be pretty sad to see that little f**king Miss Sunshine taking the BP. It will be as ugly as the "Crash" disaster last year.

kieslowski_67 wrote:DGA is usually a better indicator on the BP winner. Since Scorsese just got the DGA (finally this year), I won't be surprised to see "the departed" taking home the BP Oscar. To be fair, it will be pretty sad to see that little f**king Miss Sunshine taking the BP. It will be as ugly as the "Crash" disaster last year.

I would love to see The Departed win but LMS has won the Producer Guild Award for Best Picture which may tip it in its favour. If they couldn't give it to Goodfellas then I doubt they will give it here.

Alan Arkin is an amazing actor who deserves recognition for his career. Eddie Murphy is a money machine and by all accounts a grade-A asshole, and likely doesn't need any fuel for the egotistical fire. but this is William H Macy vs Cuba Gooding Jr all over again, and we all know how that went

marty wrote:

kieslowski_67 wrote:DGA is usually a better indicator on the BP winner. Since Scorsese just got the DGA (finally this year), I won't be surprised to see "the departed" taking home the BP Oscar. To be fair, it will be pretty sad to see that little f**king Miss Sunshine taking the BP. It will be as ugly as the "Crash" disaster last year.

I would love to see The Departed win but LMS has won the Producer Guild Award for Best Picture which may tip it in its favour. If they couldn't give it to Goodfellas then I doubt they will give it here.

LMS is no Dancing With Wolves. Wolves reeked of major risk: a lot of foreign language subtitles, three hour epic, a western when westerns were long out of fashion, adapted from a book that was a failure, and a large budget for an independent production back then... And it went on to tremendous box office success - the highest of the year, if I remember correctly. LMS is not that. The Departed has the highest gross of all the best pictures nominees, and my bet rests with that or Babel, and I haven't even seen that film yet. LMS being nominated for Best Picture was a courtesy, imo...

The prospects for Scorsese to perhaps win the Oscar seem a bit brighter with him winning the best director award from the Directors Guild of America. Still, if he wins for The Departed, it will not really be for this film it will in fact, be a mea culpa by the academy for snubbing him all these years (Raging Bull was the film he deserved to win it for). Yet there is still a part of me that would rather not see him win because he is in better company without the win, after all Hitchcock never won an Oscar nor did Cary Grant.

True, but Hitchock not winning is a disgrace. I'd rather he be in the company of John Ford (who won four!).

LMS is not going to win diddly. Hollywood needs to send a MESSAGE. And the only message nominee that is a frontrunner is BABEL.

Take that to the bank and smoke it!

And what message would they be sending, and to whom?

The Academy sent their message last year with Crash, this is the year where they will look to something that is less controversial (meaning they will not be voting for a message film). Therefore I still stick to my guns saying that the academy will vote for either Letters from Iwo Jima or The Queen.
In terms of monetary consideration Little Miss Sunshine has been a huge hit but it is also a film which demonstrates that Sundance is no longer truly about independent films, it is just another platform for the industry.

I dunno, with the MPAA bestowing Eastwood with a humanitarian award (the first of its kind) I have a feeling that Letters From Iwo Jima has a good shot at taking Best Picture and possibly Best Director. That Academy just loves Eastwood.

Antoine where did you hear that the MPAA gave Eastwood a humanitarian award?

The MESSAGE is that WAR is BAD and that we need to let immigrants IN so they can run our LEAFBLOWERS. LMS doesn't send that MESSAGE.

filmnoir1 wrote:Antoine where did you hear that the MPAA gave Eastwood a humanitarian award?

It's the MPAA that's giving Clint an award, not AMPAS (though, really, six of one...)

Barmy wrote:The MESSAGE is that WAR is BAD and that we need to let immigrants IN so they can run our LEAFBLOWERS. LMS doesn't send that MESSAGE.

But you're forgetting the whole self-esteem-of-little-girls message, which is so hot right now.

I always had the feeling that Brokeback Mountain didn't win Best Picture because it would be a huge bull's eye as to how sickly liberal Hollywood is in the eyes of the Midwest/Fox News types. I think had the Democrats swept into power the November before that ceremony, they wouldn't have had any trouble awarding it... In a way, it was to free Democrats from having to answer for it in the upcoming elections. I mean, really, what else could they have been thinking with Crash? Btw, I'm sure Brokeback won in the actual number of votes, but I see the Academy as having pulled an executive decision there... "It ain't in the bible..."

Yeah, Crash sure was a Conservative film.

Do you all really think the academy makes "executive decisions"? They get all 6000 voters together in a room and decide what is best for hollywood?

redbill wrote:Do you all really think the academy makes "executive decisions"? They get all 6000 voters together in a room and decide what is best for hollywood?

Well, didn't they do that when they let Marisa Tomei go home with the award just to prevent Jack Palance from being embarrassed? Or so the legend goes....

Wasn't a presenter bribed to announce that "Shakespeare in Love" was best pic (over "Saving Private Ryan")? There are conspiracies everywhere.

Doubtful, since Harrison Ford looked visibly shocked when he read the envelope.

Antoine Doinel wrote:Doubtful, since Harrison Ford looked visibly shocked when he read the envelope.

ACTING!