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Fine

Hooray for predicting a show I probably won't watch anyway! I always find the leadup to the show less fun then the leadup to the nominations but this year in particular has just sucked the air out of my anticipation.

My Predictions

BEST PICTURE: CODA

BEST DIRECTOR: Jane Campion

BEST ACTRESS: Jessica Chastain

BEST ACTOR: Will Smith

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Ariana DeBose

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Troy Kotsur

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Belfast

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: CODA

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: Dune

BEST EDITING: King Richard

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: Dune

BEST COSTUME DESIGN: Cruella

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: The Eyes of Tammy Faye

BEST SCORE: Dune

BEST SONG: 'No Time to Die'

BEST SOUND: Dune

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: Dune

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Encanto

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: Summer of Soul

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE: Drive My Car

BEST ANIMATED SHORT: The Windshield Wiper

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT: The Queen of Basketball

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT: Ala Kachuu: Take and Run

Toland's Mitchell wrote: Sun Mar 27, 2022 4:00 pm(Just a heads up, my keyboard is currently slightly broken, and doesn't do capital 'a's, 'q's, and 'z's)

Sorry, disqualified due to insufficient capitalization.

All right, no more revisions for those in the picks competition

Would be quite an upset if anyone other than Campion wins for Directing but perhaps Power of the Dog isn't quite as popular among the Academy as suspected. And if she loses out tonight, I hope it's to Spielberg, who, by most people's reckoning, has made his best film in many years but he also has his own Oscar-winning record working against him, and the Academy might feel that if it is not Campion, then someone other than Spielberg. I'd not be surprised if they go with Kenneth Branagh for Best Director: like Del Toro, he is well-liked in the industry and there may be enough members not liking Power of the Dog but liking Belfast. Would be nice if either Cruz or Stewart prevails over Jessica Chastain's make-up but who are we kidding; with the Academy, it's either actors buried under make-up or playing a real person.

I’d happily see Branagh take director if it means PTA wins screenplay. If picks were still open to change, I’d put Spielberg for director, and Campion for adapted screenplay. But I’d probably be wrong on both.

Apparently Sean Penn (yes, I know) will "smelt" his Oscars if Zelenskiy isn't invited to speak at the awards. How does it not occur to the likes of Penn and Schumer that Zelenskiy has more pressing things to consider right now?

Yeah, the incredible vanity that Zelenskiy would even be thinking about an American movie awards ceremony right now, about making a plea for the lives of his people in between Amy Schumer's baggy pussy jokes. I'd rather he just get some sleep if he can.

Penn was actually in Ukraine when the fighting started. This is a silly threat, but he’s seen the conflict firsthand, so I can’t really make fun of him for caring. I’d probably be saying whatever I could to do something about it too if I had a platform like his

If I’m remembering what I read a couple of days ago (big if), my impression was not that he wanted the Oscars to invite Zelensky but that he’d be upset if Zelensky wanted to speak and the network denied him airtime. And you can imagine why Zelensky would use any platform available (especially one with the international reach the Oscars still have) to rally support for the cause.

DarkImbecile wrote: Sun Mar 27, 2022 10:38 pm My impression was not that he wanted the Oscars to invite Zelensky but that he’d be upset if Zelensky wanted to speak and the network denied him airtime.

That's fair. Not that Disney/ABC would have contemplated that for a minute.

I’m not going to do full predictions, but let me just throw it out there that I have this very strange hunch that Drive My Car will win Best Adapted Screenplay but somehow lose Best International Feature in an upset victory for The Worst Person in the World.

All wins are leaked already. Zimmer, Windshield Wiper, Queen of Basketball so far

Dune editing, Long Goodbye also won

Tammy Faye for makeup, Dune for Production Design and Sound too

I’m going to go play Animal Crossing, see you all in a few hours when I can just keep reading the winners

Already clear why we don’t need hosts.

I thought Hall and Sykes started off strong but... that didn't last long

Anyone else made uncomfortable by this COVID test bit?

Yeppp, did she do a dig on Will Smith over it? (I admittedly didn't hear)

"Celebrating 30 years of White Man Can't Jump" ... and 20 years since White Men Can't Jump was a thing people cared about.

What a weiiirrrrddd White Men Can't Jump reunion! Like, in the first place, "why"? But even past that, did they opt to get the writers of Bongwater for the "jokes" this year?