Awards Season 2016

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knives · #426 Post by **knives** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 12:55 am

manicsounds wrote:How "Your Name" was snubbed for the animated Oscar is a wonder. In my opinion it wasn't just the best animated film I saw last year but the best film I saw last year.

Was it eligible?

rawlinson · #427 Post by **rawlinson** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 2:35 am

mfunk9786 wrote:Totally puzzled by the way Kristopher Tapley at Variety has ranked the Best Actress chances...

Current Prediction:

01. Emma Stone

Possible Spoiler:

02. Meryl Streep

Dark Horse:

03. Natalie Portman

Other Nominees:

04. Isabelle Huppert
05. Ruth Negga
He knows that Huppert has been sweeping this category to this point, right? I would say the momentum is soundly in place for her to easily have the 2nd best chance of taking it home.

Critics awards largely though. Huppert was shut out by the SAGs and they're the only group so far that are also Oscar voters. Baftas too, but Elle wasn't eligible there. Streep's got a huge publicity bounce from the Golden Globes that will put her in the minds of voters, and you know how much they'd love her to have a fourth Oscar, and Portman and Stone are the beautiful young women who'll be doing the circuit for the next few weeks. Isabelle Huppert is in a film not nominated in other categories, it's going to be a tougher watch for lots of voters, I think it could easily be a film lots of voters don't actually bother to watch.

rohmerin · #428 Post by **rohmerin** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 9:50 am

Les Cesar

http://www.canalplus.fr/cinema/ceremoni ... tions.html

Ma loutte sounds good. Techine is not nominated.

#429 Post by **domino harvey** » Sat Jan 28, 2017 5:10 pm

The Salesman just won the Best Foreign Picture Oscar

knives · #430 Post by **knives** » Sat Jan 28, 2017 5:36 pm

Yep, Trump just knows how to ruin everything for everyone.

FrauBlucher · #431 Post by **FrauBlucher** » Sat Jan 28, 2017 8:15 pm

domino harvey wrote:The Salesman just won the Best Foreign Picture Oscar

For me this is the best film of the year (by far), so this very unfortunate situation will create more of a buzz and yes, get Farhadi another Oscar, which it very much deserves but deeply wish these were not the circumstances.

Ribs · #432 Post by **Ribs** » Mon Jan 30, 2017 3:13 am

SAG:

Best Supporting Actor - Mahershala Ali
Best Supporting Actress - Viola Davis
Best Actor - Denzel Washington
Best Actress - Emma Stone
Best Cast - Hidden Figures

#433 Post by **domino harvey** » Mon Jan 30, 2017 3:19 am

I see the Affleck snub is gonna happen, though I still don't think Washington will be the benefactor

Ribs · #434 Post by **Ribs** » Mon Jan 30, 2017 3:29 am

Do you mean that you think Gosling will break through? Stranger things have happened, but I was actually leaning Garfield before this - now I think, in order of descending likelihood, it's probably Washington/Affleck/Garfield/Gosling/Mortensen.

#435 Post by **domino harvey** » Mon Jan 30, 2017 3:39 am

I think Garfield is least likely. Mortensen's nom is his reward, and lack of any other nom for his film counts out a shocker there. Gosling's role might be too lightweight, and Washington's win went down big, so maybe he will prevail. That it helps a narrative doesn't hurt. If Affleck wins expect polite applause and hand-sitting, no standing O much less enthusiasm

#436 Post by **domino harvey** » Mon Jan 30, 2017 3:48 am

The real news here is Moonlight couldn't pick up ensemble, so there's probably no other film even close to La La Land getting consensus votes for Best Pic at the Oscars. I thought it might have enough broad passion, but I think it's shaping up as this year's Boyhood

Ribs · #437 Post by **Ribs** » Mon Jan 30, 2017 4:07 am

I think La La Land may well be the first time since the new rules started that they will literally not even need to do the preferential ballot as more than 50% will list it as their #1 choice. Manchester's team must be in crisis mode - if Actor slips away from them, they have to know that screenplay may not be very far behind, and then the story becomes partially that the Oscars have totally rejected streaming. At least there was something exciting that happened- it's good there's one race to look forward to, given this year seems to have fallen into place far earlier than most.

movielocke · #438 Post by **movielocke** » Mon Jan 30, 2017 4:46 am

Ribs wrote:I think La La Land may well be the first time since the new rules started that they will literally not even need to do the preferential ballot as more than 50% will list it as their #1 choice. Manchester's team must be in crisis mode - if Actor slips away from them, they have to know that screenplay may not be very far behind, and then the story becomes partially that the Oscars have totally rejected streaming. At least there was something exciting that happened- it's good there's one race to look forward to, given this year seems to have fallen into place far earlier than most.

i think this is correct. And I would guess as guild wins are unveiled la la land will only gain momentum.

The longer this season goes on the more I kind of love la la land more for dreaming uncommercial dreams, defying conventional wisdom and then proving it can and will work. Moonlight is an all time masterpiece, I cannot wait to own it and watch it with my wife, but if I were in the academy I would feel extremely torn on which to vote for, the film I know is an all time great--a better film than modern beloveds like mulhullond dr or in the mood for love--or the film I just love to death and flat out joyously enjoyed the most of any film this year. Both are very deeply heart-and-head films for me, it's honestly one of the closest two films have been for me, in any year since I've paid attention.

rawlinson · #439 Post by **rawlinson** » Mon Jan 30, 2017 12:55 pm

I think one thing that should be remembered regarding the SAGs is that Washington had never won one, so the opportunity to finally reward him could have been a motive. And I also think that the voting period could have been important, embracing diversity as an act of political defiance. But, I agree that Affleck could miss out on the Oscar, but I think it will be Gosling who could take it. I don't even think Manchester is the frontrunner for screenplay at the moment. I think La La Land is going to take it as a film so beloved that people will just box tick every category they can for it. I'm just not sure there's enough momentum for a Washington Oscar win right now. It'll be interesting to see how the Baftas shake down, where he's not nominated.

Feego · #440 Post by **Feego** » Mon Jan 30, 2017 2:33 pm

In the SAG Awards' 23-year history, there have only been four occasions when the SAG and the Academy awarded different leading actors, and it was that four-year stretch from 2000 to 2003. Two of those years were kind of oddball -- Benicio Del Toro winning the SAG for Traffic while being nominated in the supporting category by the Academy, and Johnny Depp winning for Pirates of the Caribbean (I don't think he was ever the favorite to win the Oscar that year). In recent years, the SAG Awards have been good predictors of who will go on to Oscar victories in this category when there's reason to doubt the heretofore favorite or when there's no clear-cut favorite at all (Sean Penn vs. Mickey Rourke, Jean Dujardin vs. George Clooney, Eddie Redmayne vs. Michael Keaton). I do believe Washington has a very strong chance of taking this now.

rawlinson · #441 Post by **rawlinson** » Mon Jan 30, 2017 3:29 pm

That's true. But you have to figure in the other categories as well, so in the 22 years prior to this one there has only been six years where all four SAG winners also took the Oscars. So if Stone, Ali and Davis are all locks, Washington still looks the weak link.

Ribs · #442 Post by **Ribs** » Sun Feb 05, 2017 1:42 pm

Damien Chazelle expectedly won the DGA award last night, but more surprising is the ASC gave their top prize to Lion. They've only matched up with an Oscar winner four times in the past ten awards (likely as what's understated and impressive to a guild of cinematographers is probably very different than to the Academy at large), but it's still modestly surprising.

knives · #443 Post by **knives** » Mon Feb 06, 2017 12:10 am

This is the first time I'm going to try to see the shorts in their theater run (since it is so hard to see them otherwise). My local theater is advertising for animated and live action, but not documentary. Does that mean that documentary doesn't get a theatrical run or simply not with the other two categories or what?

Ribs · #444 Post by **Ribs** » Mon Feb 06, 2017 12:57 am

As with regular box office sales for all documentary, I don't think there's as much commercial interest in the Documentary shorts so they're not booked as frequently. Here in DC the main Landmark has booked the live-action and animated but only the smallest theater they've got is showing the documentaries.

knives · #445 Post by **knives** » Mon Feb 06, 2017 1:20 am

That's unfortunate.

#446 Post by **mfunk9786** » Mon Feb 06, 2017 5:23 pm

Not sure how I missed posting this when it went up, but here are Kristopher Tapley's 10 best shots of 2016

movielocke · #447 Post by **movielocke** » Mon Feb 06, 2017 5:49 pm

knives wrote:This is the first time I'm going to try to see the shorts in their theater run (since it is so hard to see them otherwise). My local theater is advertising for animated and live action, but not documentary. Does that mean that documentary doesn't get a theatrical run or simply not with the other two categories or what?

the doc shorts are pretty hard to see in Los Angeles relative to the other shorts packages, I'd say they're booked at a 1:10 ratio relative to the others. So they are always the hardest to see. Note this is in part because most years they are all 44 minutes long. Times five makes for a very long run time and fewer showings so less revenue, not to mention the lost revenue from people not willing to sit through three and a half hours of doc shorts. This year a couple of the docs are actual shorts (rather than features cut down to a shorts qualifying time ) so seeing them isn't as onerous and there are more bookings in LA it seems anecdotally (based on the website)

knives · #448 Post by **knives** » Mon Feb 06, 2017 5:52 pm

Yeah I checked the site and apparently the nearest showing is about 76 miles away in Barstow or someplace.

lacritfan · #449 Post by **lacritfan** » Tue Feb 07, 2017 2:59 pm

Nominees Luncheon Class Photo

Professor Wagstaff · Fri Feb 10, 2017 3:26 am

Will the Oscars ceremony be available to stream live?

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